Ubs keeps the rating of western oil companies neutral.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.
59 Hong Kong stocks were repurchased by the company yesterday, with Tencent Holdings, AIA and Aauto Quicker having the largest amount of repurchase. On December 9, a total of 59 Hong Kong stocks were repurchased by the company, and the amount of repurchase of 11 stocks exceeded HK$ 10 million. Among them, Tencent Holdings, AIA and Aauto Quicker -W have the largest repurchase amounts, with the repurchase amounts of HK$ 701 million, HK$ 61.927 million and HK$ 48.4189 million respectively.Five departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, jointly deployed the "One-month-one-chain" financing for small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the nationwide activities. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, the General Administration of Financial Supervision and the China Securities Regulatory Commission recently jointly issued the Notice on Launching the "One-month-one-chain" financing for small and medium-sized enterprises to promote the nationwide activities, so as to accelerate the construction of small and medium-sized enterprises' financing, promote a good ecology and help them develop with high quality. The theme of the "One Chain in January" SME financing promotion activities nationwide is "One Chain in January is beneficial to the smooth integration of enterprises", focusing on key SME groups such as high-quality SMEs and key nodes in the industrial chain, giving play to the role of "share, loan, insurance and burden" comprehensive financing means, and guiding financial resources to support SMEs in the chain more accurately by organizing various docking activities. (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology)Ruiang Gene: The actual controllers Xiong Hui and Xiong Jun were arrested. Ruiang Gene announced that the actual controller, chairman and general manager Xiong Hui and actual controller, director and deputy general manager Xiong Jun of the company have been arrested for alleged fraud, and related matters need further investigation. Mr. Xiong Jun, Mr. He Junyan and Mr. Xue Yuwei submitted written resignation reports for personal reasons, and will take other positions in the company after resigning. At present, the company has targeted related matters.
FTSE China A50 index futures rose 0.75% at the beginning, and closed up 0.84% in the last trading day and night.The number of mainland tourists visiting Hong Kong has increased by nearly 30%, and the effect of "one sign and many trips" is obvious. Last Saturday (December 7) was the first weekend after the implementation of the "one sign and many trips" policy for Shenzhen residents to Hong Kong. According to the statistics of the Hong Kong SAR government, there were about 145,000 mainland tourists visiting Hong Kong on the 7 th, which was 28.5% higher than the average daily number of tourists in November. From December 1st this year, Shenzhen registered residents and residence permit holders can apply for a "one-sign multi-trip" endorsement to travel to Hong Kong, that is, they can travel to and from Hong Kong for an unlimited number of times within one year and stay in Hong Kong for no more than 7 days at a time. December is the traditional tourist season in Hong Kong, and all major business districts and scenic spots will attract tourists through discount promotions and theme activities. With the implementation of the new policy of "one sign and many trips", many Shenzhen residents went shopping in Hong Kong last weekend. (CCTV News)Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13